On December 6, the International Energy Agency (IEE) released the "Renewable Energy 2022" report, and the documents boldly predicted the global renewable energy installation: "It is estimated that the global renewable energy installation capacity will increase from 2022 to 2027 2400 Gava, which is equivalent to all the current power installed capacity departments in China. This forecast is 30%higher than the same period last year. "
The report believes: "Renewable energy in the next five years will account for more than 90% of global power expansion. By 2025, renewable energy will exceed coal to become the world's largest source of electricity. It is expected that its share in the power structure will increase by 10 by 10 A percentage point, reaching 38%by 2027. "
The reason why the global renewable energy development has increased such a large -scale growth, the report believes that this is because this is the promotion role of China, the United States and India. These countries implement relevant policies faster than previous plans and introduce regulatory and market reforms to deal with the energy crisis.
The report is optimistic about the growth of photovoltaic power generation. The report predicts: "During 2022 to 2027, the global solar photovoltaic power generation capacity will increase by nearly double, exceeding coal, becoming the largest source of power generation in the world. In the next five years, solar photovoltaic capacity will increase every year."
The report also predicts that the development of households and industrial and commercial photovoltaic in the future will be faster, because these projects will help consumers reduce energy costs.
The report also predicts that China's leading role in the photovoltaic field will be divided by the United States and India. The report pointed out that the new policy of the United States and India is expected to increase its investment in solar manufacturing as high as $ 25 billion from 2022-2027. Although China is still the leader, by 2027, its share in global manufacturing capabilities may drop from the current 90% to 75%. This means that without rapid growth in global demand, at this time, the profit margin of the factory of all manufacturing departments in China is only half of the current level.
The report analyzes the future development of global wind power. It is believed that the global wind power installed capacity may be doubled during the 2022-2027 period, of which maritime wind power projects account for one -fifth of the growth.
Many European countries have greater investment in wind power layout. Belgium launched a 1.2 billion -euro financial package plan to accelerate the country's energy transformation and protect consumers from the impact of high energy prices. The measures of this plan include the development of new offshore wind power areas to expand and speed up the deployment of offshore wind power, so that the wind power target in 2030 has increased from 4 GW to 5.7 Giwa;
In May 2022, Belgium, Denmark, Germany, and the Netherlands signed the "Esbayig Declaration", which is a 135 billion euros of offshore wind power agreement. By 2030, it will be deployed at least 65 GW and will be deployed by 150 Jiyi by 2050. watt.
The report has better expectations for China's renewable energy installation. The report states: "During 2022-2027, China's cumulative renewable energy power generation capacity is expected to double to increase by nearly 1070 Gava. Solar photovoltaic and wind energy occupies Renewable energy increases by 90%, most of the rest comes from hydropower. "
China is expected to reach the goal of Wind Energy and solar photovoltaic power generation by 1,200 Gaval 5 years in advance. By 2023, solar photovoltaic power generation will exceed hydropower, becoming the maximum growth point of China's renewable energy installation.
The report speculates that by 2025, renewable energy will account for 33%, and wind and solar photovoltaic proportion is 18%. According to the growth of overall power demand and the production of hydropower, China can actually achieve the target of renewable energy power generation earlier.
In the case of accelerated development, China's renewable energy production capacity growth may be 10%or nearly 120 Gaval than we expect, because the domestic deployment speed of solar photovoltaic and wind energy has accelerated. In addition, the challenges to respond to policies and markets may lead to a stronger absorption of renewable energy from 2022-2027.
